← Traders
Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| 0x9495d622aB74a6O1AD1668D3DD4F7A2E68C3468F | joseph00677 | ndb1 | RN1 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 12% (535–3794, n=4329) | 53% (10–9, n=19) | 66% (877–458, n=1335) | 47% (14377–16003, n=30380) |
| Consensus PnL | -$87K | $5.6M | $4.1M | $14.8M |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #219 | PM monthly #2 | PM monthly #12 | PM monthly #22 + pinned |
| Sides with the consensus | 65% (104 of 161 open) | no open consensus position | 70% (28 of 40 open) | 58% (56 of 97 open) |
| Strongest topics |
|
|
|
|
| Weakest topic | Entertainment −9 pts, n=171 | — | NFL −10 pts, n=132 | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 24% of 2552 at avg 28¢, ROI 0% | 59% of 17 at avg 57¢, ROI +31% | 64% of 1267 at avg 64¢, ROI +4% | 94% of 25801 at avg 59¢, ROI +35% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 68% (won 2% of 1724) | 12% (won 0% of 2) | 13% (won 16% of 160) | 10% (won 57% of 2606) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 6% (won 36% of 146) | 6% (won 0% of 1) | 20% (won 40% of 253) | 22% (won 94% of 5665) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 7% (won 52% of 182) | 65% (won 73% of 11) | 24% (won 57% of 310) | 36% (won 99% of 9185) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 20% (won 86% of 500) | 18% (won 67% of 3) | 43% (won 93% of 544) | 32% (won 100% of 8345) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
3 on the same side, 6 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | 0x9495d622aB74a6O1AD1668D3DD4F7A2E68C3468F | joseph00677 | ndb1 | RN1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, D House opposite sides · consensus No | No $1.1K | — | Yes $604K | — |
| 2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House opposite sides · consensus Yes | No $111 | — | Yes $500K | — |
| Will the Republicans win the Iowa Senate race in 2026? opposite sides · consensus No | No $190 | — | Yes $4.9K | — |
| Will the Democrats win the Iowa Senate race in 2026? opposite sides · consensus Yes | Yes $400 | — | No $3.9K | — |
| Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? opposite sides · consensus Yes | Yes $670 | — | No $943 | — |
| Will Nate Sheppard be the 2026 D1 Rushing Yards Leader? opposite sides · consensus No | Yes $5 | — | No $19 | — |
| 2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R House same side · consensus No | No $1.2K | — | No $1.5M | — |
| Will Barcelona win the 2026-27 LALIGA Championship? same side · consensus Yes | Yes $233 | — | Yes $62K | — |
| Will Luka Doncic win the 2026-27 NBA MVP? same side · consensus No | No $63 | — | No $41 | — |