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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
0x9b129aD05Bc0a8df3C73DfCC66fE75252DaEC2D5-1778811687225BreakTheBankFlaznorpprimm
Record (consensus markets)31% (497–1093, n=1590)45% (576–717, n=1293)52% (6491–6080, n=12571)50% (1116–1127, n=2243)
Consensus PnL$91K$7.3M$3.7M$3.6M
Tracked asPM monthly #31PM monthly #3PM monthly #13PM monthly #51
Sides with the consensus58% (28 of 48 open)77% (27 of 35 open)69% (245 of 357 open)65% (15 of 23 open)
Strongest topics
  • NFL +51 pts n=142, ROI +50%
  • NBA +49 pts n=100, ROI +47%
  • Soccer +40 pts n=282, ROI +37%
  • Tennis +13 pts n=53, ROI +24%
  • NHL +8 pts n=61, ROI +12%
  • Esports +9 pts n=13, ROI +14%
Weakest topicSoccer −1 pts, n=728—Other Sports −13 pts, n=22—
Settled positions, side won56% of 4887 at avg 56¢, ROI +2%97% of 586 at avg 53¢, ROI +40%56% of 1617 at avg 55¢, ROI +27%99% of 1020 at avg 50¢, ROI +51%
Entries under 30¢41% (won 2% of 2005)10% (won 82% of 60)29% (won 11% of 465)5% (won 94% of 51)
Entries 30–50¢3% (won 41% of 138)35% (won 98% of 206)16% (won 40% of 255)41% (won 99% of 418)
Entries 50–70¢4% (won 71% of 190)35% (won 100% of 204)16% (won 62% of 260)49% (won 99% of 504)
Entries 70¢ and up52% (won 98% of 2554)20% (won 100% of 116)39% (won 94% of 637)5% (won 100% of 47)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

5 on the same side, 2 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

Market0x9b129aD05Bc0a8df3C73DfCC66fE75252DaEC2D5-1778811687225BreakTheBankFlaznorpprimm
Spread: Mavericks (-5.5)
opposite sides · consensus Mavericks
—Jazz $396Mavericks $15—
South Florida vs. East Carolina
opposite sides · consensus South Florida
——East Carolina $69South Florida $31
Raptors vs. Bucks
same side · consensus Raptors
—Raptors $523KRaptors $4.2K—
Spread: Thunder (-3.5)
same side · consensus Thunder
—Grizzlies $14KGrizzlies $676—
Spread: Thunder (-4.5)
same side · consensus Grizzlies
—Grizzlies $50Grizzlies $1.1K—
Spread: Raptors (-4.5)
same side · consensus Bucks
—Raptors $214Raptors $60—
Spread: Timberwolves (-4.5)
same side · consensus Pelicans
—Timberwolves $199Timberwolves $68—