Skip to content

Database problems: some data is degraded. We're fixing it right now.

Details
PolyConsensus
← Traders

Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
0x9b129aD05Bc0a8df3C73DfCC66fE75252DaEC2D5-1778811687225BreakTheBankprimm
Record (consensus markets)31% (490–1089, n=1579)45% (573–710, n=1283)50% (1106–1118, n=2224)
Consensus PnL$98K$7.9M$3.6M
Tracked asPM monthly #32PM monthly #3PM monthly #46
Sides with the consensus55% (24 of 44 open)82% (23 of 28 open)no open consensus position
Strongest topics
  • NFL +51 pts n=140, ROI +50%
  • NBA +49 pts n=96, ROI +47%
  • Soccer +40 pts n=281, ROI +37%
Weakest topicSoccer −1 pts, n=719——
Settled positions, side won56% of 4852 at avg 56¢, ROI +2%97% of 580 at avg 53¢, ROI +40%99% of 1013 at avg 50¢, ROI +51%
Entries under 30¢41% (won 2% of 1998)11% (won 80% of 61)5% (won 94% of 51)
Entries 30–50¢3% (won 42% of 136)35% (won 98% of 203)41% (won 99% of 412)
Entries 50–70¢4% (won 71% of 189)35% (won 100% of 201)50% (won 99% of 503)
Entries 70¢ and up52% (won 98% of 2529)20% (won 100% of 115)5% (won 100% of 47)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

None of the listed consensus markets is held by two or more of them.