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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
0x9b129aD05Bc0a8df3C73DfCC66fE75252DaEC2D5-1778811687225ndb1sainttroplay
Record (consensus markets)34% (435–832, n=1267)66% (876–458, n=1334)71% (10–4, n=14)
Consensus PnL$119K$4.1M$4.4M
Tracked asPM monthly #33PM monthly #26was PM monthly #11
Sides with the consensus67% (156 of 232 open)72% (28 of 39 open)no open consensus position
Strongest topics
Weakest topicSoccer −1 pts, n=687NFL −10 pts, n=132—
Settled positions, side won59% of 3904 at avg 59¢, ROI +1%64% of 1267 at avg 64¢, ROI +4%100% of 10 at avg 49¢, ROI +52%
Entries under 30¢38% (won 3% of 1478)13% (won 16% of 160)0%
Entries 30–50¢3% (won 43% of 121)20% (won 40% of 253)50% (won 100% of 5)
Entries 50–70¢4% (won 70% of 163)24% (won 57% of 310)50% (won 100% of 5)
Entries 70¢ and up55% (won 98% of 2142)43% (won 93% of 544)0%

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

3 on the same side, 4 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

Market0x9b129aD05Bc0a8df3C73DfCC66fE75252DaEC2D5-1778811687225ndb1sainttroplay
Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?
opposite sides · consensus No
Yes $11No $1.9M—
2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, D House
opposite sides · consensus No
No $239Yes $544K—
2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House
opposite sides · consensus Yes
No $83Yes $324K—
Will the Republican Party hold exactly 51 Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections?
opposite sides · consensus No
Yes $1No $7.0K—
2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R House
same side · consensus No
No $370No $1.4M—
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?
same side · consensus Yes
Yes $189Yes $777K—
Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?
same side · consensus No
No $188No $94K—