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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
0x9d8e0e3ce4c0a7a13b9b2926b7a5c4d2ea5b3ab8joseph00677primmRN1
Record (consensus markets)43% (87–114, n=201)53% (10–9, n=19)50% (1078–1087, n=2165)47% (13371–14881, n=28252)
Consensus PnL$28K$5.6M$3.6M$14.8M
Tracked asPM monthly #961PM monthly #1PM monthly #52PM monthly #30 + pinned
Sides with the consensusno open consensus positionno open consensus position77% (17 of 22 open)57% (117 of 206 open)
Strongest topics
Weakest topicEsports −13 pts, n=43———
Settled positions, side won43% of 181 at avg 45¢, ROI +6%59% of 17 at avg 57¢, ROI +31%99% of 987 at avg 50¢, ROI +51%94% of 25370 at avg 59¢, ROI +35%
Entries under 30¢25% (won 11% of 46)12% (won 0% of 2)5% (won 94% of 51)10% (won 57% of 2538)
Entries 30–50¢33% (won 32% of 59)6% (won 0% of 1)41% (won 99% of 405)22% (won 94% of 5565)
Entries 50–70¢26% (won 62% of 47)65% (won 73% of 11)49% (won 99% of 485)36% (won 99% of 9017)
Entries 70¢ and up16% (won 83% of 29)18% (won 67% of 3)5% (won 100% of 46)33% (won 100% of 8250)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

5 on the same side, 8 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

Market0x9d8e0e3ce4c0a7a13b9b2926b7a5c4d2ea5b3ab8joseph00677primmRN1
Spread: Central Michigan (-2.5)
opposite sides · consensus Eastern Michigan
——Eastern Michigan $7.5KCentral Michigan $419
Central Michigan vs. Eastern Michigan
opposite sides · consensus Eastern Michigan
——Eastern Michigan $2.0KCentral Michigan $3.8K
Spread: UMass (-2.5)
opposite sides · consensus Ball State
——Ball State $2.8KUMass $358
Spread: Toledo (-27.5)
opposite sides · consensus Toledo
——Toledo $2.4KSacramento State $631
Toledo vs. Sacramento State: O/U 53.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
——Over $2.9KUnder $3
Spread: Toledo (-26.5)
opposite sides · consensus Toledo
——Toledo $996Sacramento State $524
Spread: Toledo (-30.5)
opposite sides · consensus Sacramento State
——Toledo $277Sacramento State $466
Spread: Eastern Michigan (-1.5)
opposite sides · consensus Eastern Michigan
——Eastern Michigan $188Central Michigan $33
Spread: Ball State (-5.5)
same side · consensus Ball State
——Ball State $4.1KBall State $850
Toledo vs. Sacramento State: O/U 51.5
same side · consensus Over
——Over $3.4KOver $116
Spread: Toledo (-33.5)
same side · consensus Sacramento State
——Toledo $2.0KToledo $490
Spread: Toledo (-20.5)
same side · consensus Toledo
——Toledo $948Toledo $672
Spread: Toledo (-23.5)
same side · consensus Toledo
——Toledo $266Toledo $434