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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
0x9d8e0e3ce4c0a7a13b9b2926b7a5c4d2ea5b3ab8ndb1primmUpTheBlues
Record (consensus markets)43% (88–119, n=207)63% (1101–635, n=1736)47% (1430–1597, n=3027)51% (28349–27349, n=55698)
Consensus PnL$28K$4.6M$3.7M$1.4M
Tracked aswas PM monthly #999PM monthly #109PM monthly #41PM monthly #10
Sides with the consensusno open consensus position70% (68 of 97 open)no open consensus position63% (45 of 71 open)
Strongest topics
  • MLB +59 pts n=1034, ROI +58%
  • Esports +62 pts n=68, ROI +63%
  • MMA +63 pts n=36, ROI +63%
Weakest topicEsports −14 pts, n=44NFL −7 pts, n=158——
Settled positions, side won42% of 185 at avg 45¢, ROI +6%66% of 1537 at avg 66¢, ROI +2%99% of 1269 at avg 51¢, ROI +50%100% of 50377 at avg 70¢, ROI +35%
Entries under 30¢26% (won 10% of 48)13% (won 14% of 196)5% (won 95% of 59)7% (won 99% of 3291)
Entries 30–50¢32% (won 32% of 60)18% (won 40% of 283)40% (won 99% of 512)18% (won 100% of 9212)
Entries 50–70¢25% (won 62% of 47)23% (won 58% of 348)50% (won 100% of 633)20% (won 100% of 9904)
Entries 70¢ and up16% (won 83% of 30)46% (won 94% of 710)5% (won 100% of 65)56% (won 100% of 27970)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

None of the listed consensus markets is held by two or more of them.