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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
0xE5F0AE9cc9aeF77ae3c2A64c9E69caa3F335dc1d-1773531520731beachboy4BreakTheBankRN1
Record (consensus markets)33% (836–1733, n=2569)68% (43–20, n=63)45% (542–652, n=1194)47% (13849–15328, n=29177)
Consensus PnL-$217K$5.8M$10.6M$13.4M
Tracked aswas PM monthly #746was PM monthly #24PM monthly #1PM monthly #24 + pinned
Sides with the consensus67% (4 of 6 open)100% (1 of 1 open)90% (144 of 160 open)67% (2 of 3 open)
Strongest topics
  • NHL +27 pts n=13, ROI +19%
  • Soccer +10 pts n=81, ROI +5%
  • NFL +51 pts n=134, ROI +50%
  • NBA +49 pts n=93, ROI +48%
  • Soccer +40 pts n=279, ROI +38%
Weakest topicMentions −15 pts, n=47NBA −6 pts, n=92——
Settled positions, side won49% of 1804 at avg 37¢, ROI +11%57% of 212 at avg 54¢, ROI +3%97% of 552 at avg 53¢, ROI +41%94% of 24804 at avg 58¢, ROI +35%
Entries under 30¢35% (won 23% of 625)3% (won 17% of 6)10% (won 82% of 56)10% (won 57% of 2537)
Entries 30–50¢38% (won 56% of 682)29% (won 56% of 62)36% (won 98% of 198)22% (won 94% of 5518)
Entries 50–70¢27% (won 73% of 482)54% (won 51% of 115)35% (won 99% of 191)36% (won 99% of 8928)
Entries 70¢ and up1% (won 93% of 15)14% (won 86% of 29)19% (won 100% of 107)32% (won 100% of 7821)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

1 on the same side, 0 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

Market0xE5F0AE9cc9aeF77ae3c2A64c9E69caa3F335dc1d-1773531520731beachboy4BreakTheBankRN1
Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?
same side · consensus Yes
Yes $19K—Yes $270K—