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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| 0xa169f83d28ad1ce5a14cc1c49796b547ece21b73 | BreakTheBank | beachboy4 | 00gringo00 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 50% (154–152, n=306) | 45% (542–652, n=1194) | 68% (43–20, n=63) | 75% (6–2, n=8) |
| Consensus PnL | $6.1K | $10.6M | $5.8M | $3.5M |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #592 | PM monthly #1 | was PM monthly #24 | was PM monthly #19 |
| Sides with the consensus | 55% (48 of 87 open) | 88% (130 of 147 open) | 100% (1 of 1 open) | no open consensus position |
| Strongest topics | none with 10+ settled | |||
| Weakest topic | Entertainment ±0 pts, n=10 | — | NBA −6 pts, n=92 | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 84% of 161 at avg 77¢, ROI +1% | 97% of 552 at avg 53¢, ROI +41% | 57% of 212 at avg 54¢, ROI +3% | 86% of 7 at avg 59¢, ROI +25% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 13% (won 24% of 21) | 10% (won 82% of 56) | 3% (won 17% of 6) | 0% |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 5% (won 63% of 8) | 36% (won 98% of 198) | 29% (won 56% of 62) | 0% |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 11% (won 94% of 18) | 35% (won 99% of 191) | 54% (won 51% of 115) | 100% (won 86% of 7) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 71% (won 95% of 114) | 19% (won 100% of 107) | 14% (won 86% of 29) | 0% |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
2 on the same side, 2 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | 0xa169f83d28ad1ce5a14cc1c49796b547ece21b73 | BreakTheBank | beachboy4 | 00gringo00 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? opposite sides · consensus Yes | No $346 | Yes $274K | — | — |
| Will the Republicans win the Iowa Senate race in 2026? opposite sides · consensus Yes | Yes $160 | No $114K | — | — |
| 2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, D House same side · consensus Yes | No $2 | No $250K | — | — |
| Will the Democrats win the Iowa Senate race in 2026? same side · consensus Yes | Yes $96 | Yes $83K | — | — |