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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| 0xa169f83d28ad1ce5a14cc1c49796b547ece21b73 | RN1 | sainttroplay | BreakTheBank | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 51% (139–131, n=270) | 48% (12984–14343, n=27327) | 71% (10–4, n=14) | 45% (537–652, n=1189) |
| Consensus PnL | $6.0K | $13.4M | $4.4M | $10.6M |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #592 | PM monthly #24 + pinned | was PM monthly #11 | PM monthly #1 |
| Sides with the consensus | 46% (28 of 61 open) | 50% (1 of 2 open) | no open consensus position | 85% (50 of 59 open) |
| Strongest topics |
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| ||
| Weakest topic | Entertainment ±0 pts, n=10 | — | — | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 84% of 161 at avg 77¢, ROI +1% | 94% of 24804 at avg 58¢, ROI +35% | 100% of 10 at avg 49¢, ROI +52% | 97% of 552 at avg 53¢, ROI +41% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 13% (won 24% of 21) | 10% (won 57% of 2537) | 0% | 10% (won 82% of 56) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 5% (won 63% of 8) | 22% (won 94% of 5518) | 50% (won 100% of 5) | 36% (won 98% of 198) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 11% (won 94% of 18) | 36% (won 99% of 8928) | 50% (won 100% of 5) | 35% (won 99% of 191) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 71% (won 95% of 114) | 32% (won 100% of 7821) | 0% | 19% (won 100% of 107) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
3 on the same side, 3 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | 0xa169f83d28ad1ce5a14cc1c49796b547ece21b73 | RN1 | sainttroplay | BreakTheBank |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? opposite sides · consensus Yes | No $346 | — | — | Yes $270K |
| Will the Republican Party hold exactly 53 Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections? opposite sides · consensus No | Yes $4 | — | — | No $118K |
| Will the Republicans win the Iowa Senate race in 2026? opposite sides · consensus No | Yes $158 | — | — | No $117K |
| 2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House same side · consensus Yes | Yes $872 | — | — | Yes $170K |
| Will the Democrats win the Iowa Senate race in 2026? same side · consensus Yes | Yes $91 | — | — | Yes $85K |
| 2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, R House same side · consensus Yes | Yes $7 | — | — | Yes $15K |