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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| 0xa7517ed74c6b07843946e0e69cad10a9fa94e05 | CORGII | BreakTheBank | 00gringo00 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 40% (149–226, n=375) | 61% (394–247, n=641) | 45% (542–652, n=1194) | 75% (6–2, n=8) |
| Consensus PnL | $114K | $4.5M | $10.6M | $3.5M |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #300 | PM monthly #68 | PM monthly #1 | was PM monthly #19 |
| Sides with the consensus | 43% (24 of 56 open) | 0% (0 of 1 open) | 89% (143 of 160 open) | no open consensus position |
| Strongest topics |
| none with 10+ settled | ||
| Weakest topic | — | — | — | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 74% of 234 at avg 63¢, ROI +2% | 98% of 399 at avg 46¢, ROI +55% | 97% of 552 at avg 53¢, ROI +41% | 86% of 7 at avg 59¢, ROI +25% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 23% (won 19% of 54) | 9% (won 92% of 36) | 10% (won 82% of 56) | 0% |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 11% (won 64% of 25) | 56% (won 99% of 223) | 36% (won 98% of 198) | 0% |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 17% (won 82% of 39) | 33% (won 100% of 133) | 35% (won 99% of 191) | 100% (won 86% of 7) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 50% (won 100% of 116) | 2% (won 100% of 7) | 19% (won 100% of 107) | 0% |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
3 on the same side, 2 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | 0xa7517ed74c6b07843946e0e69cad10a9fa94e05 | CORGII | BreakTheBank | 00gringo00 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Republicans lose the Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas Senate seats? opposite sides · consensus Yes | Yes $59K | — | No $292K | — |
| Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026? opposite sides · consensus No | No $27K | — | Yes $34K | — |
| Will the Republicans win the Iowa Senate race in 2026? same side · consensus Yes | No $3.6K | — | No $117K | — |
| Will the Democrats win the Iowa Senate race in 2026? same side · consensus Yes | Yes $2.9K | — | Yes $85K | — |
| Will Republicans win Iowa, and lose Alaska, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas? same side · consensus No | Yes $1.2K | — | Yes $66K | — |