Skip to content

Database problems: some data is degraded. We're fixing it right now.

Details
PolyConsensus
← Traders

Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
0xa85B3359D5e0BDCB925F6A2B94ddfBF6d403eb0BreakTheBankFlaznorpprimm
Record (consensus markets)92% (3727–317, n=4044)45% (573–710, n=1283)52% (6510–6010, n=12520)50% (1106–1118, n=2224)
Consensus PnL$89K$7.9M$3.3M$3.6M
Tracked aswas PM monthly #624PM monthly #3PM monthly #24PM monthly #46
Sides with the consensus60% (3 of 5 open)69% (20 of 29 open)71% (188 of 265 open)no open consensus position
Strongest topics
  • MLB +44 pts n=81, ROI +45%
  • NBA +40 pts n=350, ROI −2%
  • Soccer +35 pts n=521, ROI +37%
  • NFL +51 pts n=140, ROI +50%
  • NBA +49 pts n=96, ROI +47%
  • Soccer +40 pts n=281, ROI +37%
  • Tennis +13 pts n=53, ROI +24%
  • NHL +8 pts n=61, ROI +12%
  • Esports +9 pts n=13, ROI +14%
Weakest topic——Other Sports −13 pts, n=22—
Settled positions, side won100% of 1014 at avg 62¢, ROI +19%97% of 580 at avg 53¢, ROI +40%56% of 1617 at avg 55¢, ROI +27%99% of 987 at avg 50¢, ROI +51%
Entries under 30¢8% (won 100% of 78)11% (won 80% of 61)29% (won 11% of 465)5% (won 94% of 51)
Entries 30–50¢23% (won 100% of 233)35% (won 98% of 203)16% (won 40% of 255)41% (won 99% of 405)
Entries 50–70¢29% (won 100% of 297)35% (won 100% of 201)16% (won 62% of 260)49% (won 99% of 485)
Entries 70¢ and up40% (won 100% of 406)20% (won 100% of 115)39% (won 94% of 637)5% (won 100% of 46)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

3 on the same side, 1 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

Market0xa85B3359D5e0BDCB925F6A2B94ddfBF6d403eb0BreakTheBankFlaznorpprimm
Taranto: Sumit Nagal vs Hugo Grenier
opposite sides · consensus Sumit Nagal
Hugo Grenier $33—Sumit Nagal $5.1K—
Chennai Open: Anastasia Zakharova vs Vaishnavi Adkar
same side · consensus Anastasia Zakharova
Anastasia Zakharova $17—Anastasia Zakharova $23K—
Prudential Hong Kong Tennis Open: Sorana Cirstea vs Mary Stoiana
same side · consensus Sorana Cirstea
Sorana Cirstea $36—Sorana Cirstea $17K—
Taranto: Kilian Feldbausch vs Remy Bertola
same side · consensus Kilian Feldbausch
Remy Bertola $8—Remy Bertola $752—