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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
0xa85B3359D5e0BDCB925F6A2B94ddfBF6d403eb0BreakTheBankprimmUpTheBlues
Record (consensus markets)92% (3728–317, n=4045)45% (573–710, n=1283)50% (1106–1118, n=2224)50% (20929–20600, n=41529)
Consensus PnL$89K$7.9M$3.6M$3.2M
Tracked aswas PM monthly #624PM monthly #3PM monthly #46PM monthly #7
Sides with the consensus60% (3 of 5 open)83% (24 of 29 open)no open consensus position70% (32 of 46 open)
Strongest topics
  • MLB +44 pts n=81, ROI +45%
  • NBA +40 pts n=350, ROI −2%
  • Soccer +35 pts n=521, ROI +37%
  • NFL +51 pts n=140, ROI +50%
  • NBA +49 pts n=96, ROI +47%
  • Soccer +40 pts n=281, ROI +37%
  • MLB +59 pts n=918, ROI +58%
  • Esports +62 pts n=67, ROI +63%
  • MMA +63 pts n=36, ROI +63%
Weakest topic————
Settled positions, side won100% of 1014 at avg 62¢, ROI +19%97% of 580 at avg 53¢, ROI +40%99% of 987 at avg 50¢, ROI +51%100% of 38237 at avg 67¢, ROI +37%
Entries under 30¢8% (won 100% of 78)11% (won 80% of 61)5% (won 94% of 51)7% (won 99% of 2623)
Entries 30–50¢23% (won 100% of 233)35% (won 98% of 203)41% (won 99% of 405)21% (won 100% of 7839)
Entries 50–70¢29% (won 100% of 297)35% (won 100% of 201)49% (won 99% of 485)22% (won 100% of 8452)
Entries 70¢ and up40% (won 100% of 406)20% (won 100% of 115)5% (won 100% of 46)51% (won 100% of 19323)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

None of the listed consensus markets is held by two or more of them.