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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
0xbb299ce4867ea634a83a254e24d1ffc5c148947aBreakTheBankprimmUpTheBlues
Record (consensus markets)no settled market41% (616–869, n=1485)47% (1430–1597, n=3027)51% (28353–27352, n=55705)
Consensus PnL—$8.4M$3.7M$1.4M
Tracked as—PM monthly #1PM monthly #41PM monthly #10
Sides with the consensusno open consensus position88% (29 of 33 open)no open consensus position66% (46 of 70 open)
Strongest topicsnot computed yet
  • NFL +51 pts n=142, ROI +50%
  • NBA +49 pts n=107, ROI +47%
  • Soccer +40 pts n=282, ROI +37%
  • MLB +59 pts n=1034, ROI +58%
  • Esports +62 pts n=68, ROI +63%
  • MMA +63 pts n=36, ROI +63%
Weakest topic————
Settled positions, side won—97% of 593 at avg 53¢, ROI +40%99% of 1269 at avg 51¢, ROI +50%100% of 50377 at avg 70¢, ROI +35%
Entries under 30¢—10% (won 82% of 60)5% (won 95% of 59)7% (won 99% of 3291)
Entries 30–50¢—36% (won 98% of 212)40% (won 99% of 512)18% (won 100% of 9212)
Entries 50–70¢—35% (won 100% of 205)50% (won 100% of 633)20% (won 100% of 9904)
Entries 70¢ and up—20% (won 100% of 116)5% (won 100% of 65)56% (won 100% of 27970)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

None of the listed consensus markets is held by two or more of them.