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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| 0xbe044D601FBe89c9E87eACFa57d813A31F783C60-1767997097941 | sainttroplay | beachboy4 | BreakTheBank | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 89% (50–6, n=56) | 71% (10–4, n=14) | 68% (43–20, n=63) | 45% (542–652, n=1194) |
| Consensus PnL | -$53K | $4.4M | $5.8M | $10.6M |
| Tracked as | Hand-picked | was PM monthly #11 | was PM monthly #24 | PM monthly #1 |
| Sides with the consensus | 93% (13 of 14 open) | no open consensus position | 100% (1 of 1 open) | 88% (130 of 147 open) |
| Strongest topics |
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| ||
| Weakest topic | Geopolitics −1 pts, n=96 | — | NBA −6 pts, n=92 | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 84% of 188 at avg 84¢, ROI −2% | 100% of 10 at avg 49¢, ROI +52% | 57% of 212 at avg 54¢, ROI +3% | 97% of 552 at avg 53¢, ROI +41% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 6% (won 8% of 12) | 0% | 3% (won 17% of 6) | 10% (won 82% of 56) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 3% (won 40% of 5) | 50% (won 100% of 5) | 29% (won 56% of 62) | 36% (won 98% of 198) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 10% (won 56% of 18) | 50% (won 100% of 5) | 54% (won 51% of 115) | 35% (won 99% of 191) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 81% (won 95% of 153) | 0% | 14% (won 86% of 29) | 19% (won 100% of 107) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
0 on the same side, 3 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | 0xbe044D601FBe89c9E87eACFa57d813A31F783C60-1767997097941 | sainttroplay | beachboy4 | BreakTheBank |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? opposite sides · consensus Yes | Yes $9.9K | — | — | No $202K |
| Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026? opposite sides · consensus Yes | Yes $3.6K | — | — | No $32K |
| Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026? opposite sides · consensus No | No $1.5K | — | — | Yes $33K |