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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
0xbf2342fds234423dBreakTheBankRN1sainttroplay
Record (consensus markets)no settled market46% (560–667, n=1227)47% (13371–14881, n=28252)no settled market
Consensus PnL—$9.4M$14.8M—
Tracked as—PM monthly #2PM monthly #28 + pinned—
Sides with the consensusno open consensus position60% (15 of 25 open)64% (181 of 283 open)no open consensus position
Strongest topicsnot computed yet
  • NFL +51 pts n=140, ROI +50%
  • NBA +49 pts n=96, ROI +47%
  • Soccer +40 pts n=281, ROI +37%
not computed yet
Weakest topic————
Settled positions, side won—97% of 580 at avg 53¢, ROI +40%94% of 25370 at avg 59¢, ROI +35%—
Entries under 30¢—11% (won 80% of 61)10% (won 57% of 2538)—
Entries 30–50¢—35% (won 98% of 203)22% (won 94% of 5565)—
Entries 50–70¢—35% (won 100% of 201)36% (won 99% of 9017)—
Entries 70¢ and up—20% (won 100% of 115)33% (won 100% of 8250)—

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

2 on the same side, 3 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

Market0xbf2342fds234423dBreakTheBankRN1sainttroplay
Will BV Borussia 09 Dortmund win on 2026-11-04?
opposite sides · consensus No
—No $327KYes $50K—
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-11-04?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
—No $64KYes $32K—
Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-11-04?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
—Yes $56KNo $148—
Will AEK win on 2026-11-04?
same side · consensus No
—No $651KNo $6.5K—
Will SSC Napoli win on 2026-11-04?
same side · consensus No
—No $3.2KNo $6.5K—