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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
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Record (consensus markets)no settled market17% (156–789, n=945)no settled market50% (65–65, n=130)
Consensus PnL—$536K—-$53K
Tracked as—PM monthly #2PM monthly #7PM monthly #34 + pinned
Sides with the consensusno open consensus position74% (324 of 437 open)no open consensus position55% (50 of 91 open)
Strongest topicsnot computed yet
  • Crypto +45 pts n=124, ROI +67%
  • Soccer +16 pts n=1174, ROI +26%
  • NBA +14 pts n=146, ROI +19%
Weakest topic—NFL −6 pts, n=17——
Settled positions, side won—62% of 5804 at avg 54¢, ROI +30%59% of 17 at avg 57¢, ROI +31%94% of 26124 at avg 59¢, ROI +35%
Entries under 30¢—38% (won 18% of 2197)12% (won 0% of 2)10% (won 57% of 2594)
Entries 30–50¢—7% (won 53% of 397)6% (won 0% of 1)22% (won 94% of 5704)
Entries 50–70¢—9% (won 71% of 531)65% (won 73% of 11)35% (won 99% of 9204)
Entries 70¢ and up—46% (won 97% of 2679)18% (won 67% of 3)33% (won 100% of 8622)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

1 on the same side, 2 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

Market0xbf2342fds234423de46m3joseph00677RN1
Spread: Rockets (-5.5)
opposite sides · consensus Nuggets
—Nuggets $42—Rockets $13
Exact Score: Vitesse Arnhem 0 - 0 De Graafschap?
opposite sides · consensus No
—Yes $5—No $3
CD Tecnico Universitario vs. Manta FC: O/U 2.5
same side · consensus Under
—Under $170—Under $14K