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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
0xc7D02944A76B9F83B199e9090ECC92C82d241F8a-1776944395495beachboy4ndb1
Record (consensus markets)55% (14689–12167, n=26856)no settled market65% (870–459, n=1329)
Consensus PnL$346K—$4.2M
Tracked asPM monthly #152—PM monthly #11
Sides with the consensus62% (288 of 468 open)no open consensus position74% (25 of 34 open)
Strongest topics
  • Esports +18 pts n=2719, ROI +13%
  • Tennis +18 pts n=671, ROI +15%
  • NBA +19 pts n=101, ROI +1%
not computed yet
Weakest topicEconomy −1 pts, n=123—NFL −10 pts, n=132
Settled positions, side won47% of 13889 at avg 38¢, ROI +8%—64% of 1267 at avg 64¢, ROI +4%
Entries under 30¢52% (won 11% of 7196)—13% (won 16% of 160)
Entries 30–50¢13% (won 60% of 1788)—20% (won 40% of 253)
Entries 50–70¢12% (won 89% of 1712)—24% (won 57% of 310)
Entries 70¢ and up23% (won 98% of 3193)—43% (won 93% of 544)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

3 on the same side, 1 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

Market0xc7D02944A76B9F83B199e9090ECC92C82d241F8a-1776944395495beachboy4ndb1
Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
No $3—Yes $118
2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R House
same side · consensus No
No $246—No $1.5M
2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House
same side · consensus Yes
Yes $686—Yes $503K
2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, D House
same side · consensus No
Yes $5—Yes $1.7K