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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| 0xc7D02944A76B9F83B199e9090ECC92C82d241F8a-1776944395495 | beachboy4 | BreakTheBank | ndb1 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 54% (15247–13114, n=28361) | no settled market | 45% (572–710, n=1282) | 63% (989–572, n=1561) |
| Consensus PnL | $355K | — | $7.9M | $3.2M |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #88 | — | PM monthly #2 | PM monthly #90 |
| Sides with the consensus | 69% (394 of 568 open) | no open consensus position | 85% (28 of 33 open) | 67% (58 of 86 open) |
| Strongest topics | not computed yet |
| ||
| Weakest topic | Economy −1 pts, n=125 | — | — | NFL −9 pts, n=139 |
| Settled positions, side won | 46% of 14654 at avg 37¢, ROI +8% | — | 97% of 582 at avg 53¢, ROI +40% | 64% of 1288 at avg 64¢, ROI +4% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 53% (won 11% of 7732) | — | 10% (won 82% of 60) | 13% (won 15% of 168) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 13% (won 59% of 1834) | — | 35% (won 98% of 204) | 20% (won 39% of 256) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 12% (won 89% of 1730) | — | 35% (won 100% of 202) | 24% (won 58% of 314) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 23% (won 98% of 3358) | — | 20% (won 100% of 116) | 43% (won 93% of 550) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
8 on the same side, 1 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.