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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
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| 0xc7D02944A76B9F83B199e9090ECC92C82d241F8a-1776944395495 | ndb1 | RN1 | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 54% (15260–13110, n=28370) | 63% (989–572, n=1561) | 48% (14109–15586, n=29695) |
| Consensus PnL | $355K | $3.2M | $14.8M |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #87 | PM monthly #104 | PM monthly #28 + pinned |
| Sides with the consensus | 70% (393 of 559 open) | 72% (69 of 96 open) | 66% (104 of 158 open) |
| Strongest topics |
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| |
| Weakest topic | Economy −1 pts, n=125 | NFL −9 pts, n=139 | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 46% of 14654 at avg 37¢, ROI +8% | 64% of 1288 at avg 64¢, ROI +4% | 94% of 25975 at avg 59¢, ROI +35% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 53% (won 11% of 7732) | 13% (won 15% of 168) | 10% (won 57% of 2593) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 13% (won 59% of 1834) | 20% (won 39% of 256) | 22% (won 94% of 5682) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 12% (won 89% of 1730) | 24% (won 58% of 314) | 35% (won 99% of 9181) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 23% (won 98% of 3358) | 43% (won 93% of 550) | 33% (won 100% of 8519) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
3 on the same side, 0 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | 0xc7D02944A76B9F83B199e9090ECC92C82d241F8a-1776944395495 | ndb1 | RN1 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? same side · consensus No | Yes $159 | Yes $1.0M | — |
| Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? same side · consensus Yes | Yes $460 | Yes $1.0M | — |
| Will the Fed Hike–Pause–Pause in the next three decisions (Sep–Oct–Dec)? same side · consensus No | Yes $451 | Yes $448 | — |