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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| 0xc7D02944A76B9F83B199e9090ECC92C82d241F8a-1776944395495 | BreakTheBank | ndb1 | RN1 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 55% (14812–12351, n=27163) | 46% (560–665, n=1225) | 65% (886–468, n=1354) | 47% (13362–14874, n=28236) |
| Consensus PnL | $346K | $11.2M | $4.2M | $14.8M |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #151 | PM monthly #2 | PM monthly #145 | PM monthly #24 + pinned |
| Sides with the consensus | 57% (246 of 435 open) | 48% (10 of 21 open) | 74% (34 of 46 open) | 64% (105 of 164 open) |
| Strongest topics |
|
| ||
| Weakest topic | Economy −1 pts, n=123 | — | NFL −9 pts, n=139 | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 47% of 13889 at avg 38¢, ROI +8% | 97% of 563 at avg 53¢, ROI +41% | 64% of 1288 at avg 64¢, ROI +4% | 94% of 25370 at avg 59¢, ROI +35% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 52% (won 11% of 7196) | 10% (won 81% of 57) | 13% (won 15% of 168) | 10% (won 57% of 2538) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 13% (won 60% of 1788) | 36% (won 98% of 201) | 20% (won 39% of 256) | 22% (won 94% of 5565) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 12% (won 89% of 1712) | 35% (won 99% of 196) | 24% (won 58% of 314) | 36% (won 99% of 9017) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 23% (won 98% of 3193) | 19% (won 100% of 109) | 43% (won 93% of 550) | 33% (won 100% of 8250) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
2 on the same side, 4 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | 0xc7D02944A76B9F83B199e9090ECC92C82d241F8a-1776944395495 | BreakTheBank | ndb1 | RN1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? opposite sides · consensus Yes | No $2.8K | Yes $19K | — | — |
| Will Dan Sullivan win the Alaska Senate race in 2026? opposite sides · consensus No | No $765 | Yes $16K | — | — |
| Will Mary Peltola win the Alaska Senate race in 2026? opposite sides · consensus Yes | Yes $1.5K | No $15K | — | — |
| Will Philadelphia 76ers win the 2027 NBA Finals? opposite sides · consensus No | Yes $9 | No $1.0K | — | — |
| Will Republicans lose the Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas Senate seats? same side · consensus No | No $106 | No $482K | — | — |
| Will the San Francisco 49ers win the 2027 NFL league championship? same side · consensus No | Yes $47 | Yes $28 | — | — |