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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
0xc8b9a30184244d427169cf62485dde6041b2b836BreakTheBank
Record (consensus markets)65% (203–109, n=312)45% (526–640, n=1166)
Consensus PnL$371K$10.6M
Tracked asPM monthly #187PM monthly #1
Sides with the consensus79% (49 of 62 open)72% (74 of 103 open)
Strongest topics
  • NFL +50 pts n=123, ROI +50%
  • NBA +49 pts n=93, ROI +48%
  • Soccer +41 pts n=277, ROI +38%
Weakest topic——
Settled positions, side won62% of 371 at avg 55¢, ROI +12%98% of 539 at avg 53¢, ROI +41%
Entries under 30¢28% (won 19% of 104)10% (won 85% of 53)
Entries 30–50¢17% (won 43% of 63)36% (won 98% of 192)
Entries 50–70¢12% (won 76% of 46)35% (won 99% of 187)
Entries 70¢ and up43% (won 94% of 158)20% (won 100% of 107)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

4 on the same side, 2 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

Market0xc8b9a30184244d427169cf62485dde6041b2b836BreakTheBank
Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
Yes $20KNo $35K
Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026?
opposite sides · consensus No
No $14KYes $37K
Will the Democrats win the Maine Senate race in 2026?
same side · consensus Yes
Yes $18KYes $4.1K
Will Republicans win Alaska and Iowa, and lose Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas?
same side · consensus Yes
Yes $412Yes $19K
Will the Republicans win the Maine Senate race in 2026?
same side · consensus No
No $12KNo $590
Will the Republicans win the Ohio Senate race in 2026?
same side · consensus No
No $4.4KNo $747