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Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
0xdbdd45150249e229eB4cA8aa48A30Dca21Faa5de-1757094771846RN1BreakTheBankbeachboy4
Record (consensus markets)57% (23789–18073, n=41862)48% (12930–14106, n=27036)45% (537–650, n=1187)68% (43–20, n=63)
Consensus PnL$1.0M$13.4M$10.6M$5.8M
Tracked asPM monthly #243PM monthly #24 + pinnedPM monthly #1was PM monthly #24
Sides with the consensus0% (0 of 5 open)60% (6 of 10 open)85% (52 of 61 open)100% (2 of 2 open)
Strongest topics
  • NFL +50 pts n=123, ROI +50%
  • NBA +49 pts n=93, ROI +48%
  • Soccer +41 pts n=277, ROI +38%
  • NHL +27 pts n=13, ROI +19%
  • Soccer +10 pts n=81, ROI +5%
Weakest topic———NBA −6 pts, n=92
Settled positions, side won96% of 17518 at avg 58¢, ROI +41%94% of 24664 at avg 58¢, ROI +35%98% of 539 at avg 53¢, ROI +41%57% of 212 at avg 54¢, ROI +3%
Entries under 30¢10% (won 67% of 1797)10% (won 56% of 2534)10% (won 85% of 53)3% (won 17% of 6)
Entries 30–50¢23% (won 99% of 4013)22% (won 94% of 5497)36% (won 98% of 192)29% (won 56% of 62)
Entries 50–70¢34% (won 100% of 5899)36% (won 99% of 8897)35% (won 99% of 187)54% (won 51% of 115)
Entries 70¢ and up33% (won 100% of 5809)31% (won 100% of 7736)20% (won 100% of 107)14% (won 86% of 29)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

1 on the same side, 1 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

Market0xdbdd45150249e229eB4cA8aa48A30Dca21Faa5de-1757094771846RN1BreakTheBankbeachboy4
Senators vs. Ducks
opposite sides · consensus Senators
Ducks $96Senators $159——
Spread: Commanders (-6.5)
same side · consensus Commanders
—Commanders $3.8KCommanders $188K—