Skip to content
PolyConsensus
← Traders

Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
0xe617861a96631d7cefdb1ad43e95c33b5946f251CORGIIbeachboy4BreakTheBank
Record (consensus markets)89% (500–64, n=564)61% (393–247, n=640)68% (43–20, n=63)45% (537–652, n=1189)
Consensus PnL-$30K$4.5M$5.8M$10.6M
Tracked asPM monthly #993PM monthly #68was PM monthly #24PM monthly #1
Sides with the consensus81% (26 of 32 open)50% (1 of 2 open)100% (2 of 2 open)85% (50 of 59 open)
Strongest topics
  • Tech +4 pts n=33, ROI +10%
  • NHL +27 pts n=13, ROI +19%
  • Soccer +10 pts n=81, ROI +5%
  • NFL +51 pts n=134, ROI +50%
  • NBA +49 pts n=93, ROI +48%
  • Soccer +40 pts n=279, ROI +38%
Weakest topicWeather −3 pts, n=101—NBA −6 pts, n=92—
Settled positions, side won91% of 832 at avg 92¢, ROI 0%98% of 399 at avg 46¢, ROI +55%57% of 212 at avg 54¢, ROI +3%97% of 552 at avg 53¢, ROI +41%
Entries under 30¢1% (won 36% of 11)9% (won 92% of 36)3% (won 17% of 6)10% (won 82% of 56)
Entries 30–50¢0% (won 25% of 4)56% (won 99% of 223)29% (won 56% of 62)36% (won 98% of 198)
Entries 50–70¢3% (won 59% of 29)33% (won 100% of 133)54% (won 51% of 115)35% (won 99% of 191)
Entries 70¢ and up95% (won 93% of 788)2% (won 100% of 7)14% (won 86% of 29)19% (won 100% of 107)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

0 on the same side, 1 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

Market0xe617861a96631d7cefdb1ad43e95c33b5946f251CORGIIbeachboy4BreakTheBank
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
Yes $11——No $202K