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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
0xf705fa045201391d9632b7f3cde06a5e24453ca7BreakTheBankferrariChampions2026ndb1
Record (consensus markets)46% (280–330, n=610)45% (572–710, n=1282)35% (3646–6660, n=10306)63% (989–572, n=1561)
Consensus PnL$2.4M$7.9M$2.9M$3.2M
Tracked asPM monthly #224PM monthly #2PM monthly #419PM monthly #90
Sides with the consensus63% (91 of 145 open)85% (28 of 33 open)74% (25 of 34 open)67% (58 of 86 open)
Strongest topics
  • NFL +51 pts n=140, ROI +50%
  • NBA +49 pts n=98, ROI +47%
  • Soccer +40 pts n=282, ROI +37%
not computed yet
Weakest topic———NFL −9 pts, n=139
Settled positions, side won51% of 712 at avg 48¢, ROI +5%97% of 582 at avg 53¢, ROI +40%—64% of 1288 at avg 64¢, ROI +4%
Entries under 30¢51% (won 6% of 361)10% (won 82% of 60)—13% (won 15% of 168)
Entries 30–50¢3% (won 62% of 21)35% (won 98% of 204)—20% (won 39% of 256)
Entries 50–70¢4% (won 96% of 25)35% (won 100% of 202)—24% (won 58% of 314)
Entries 70¢ and up43% (won 99% of 305)20% (won 100% of 116)—43% (won 93% of 550)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

10 on the same side, 4 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

Market0xf705fa045201391d9632b7f3cde06a5e24453ca7BreakTheBankferrariChampions2026ndb1
Jaguars vs. Ravens
opposite sides · consensus Jaguars
—Ravens $298KJaguars $202K—
Will Bitcoin reach $95,000 by December 31, 2026?
opposite sides · consensus No
Yes $2.5K——No $495K
Jaguars vs. Ravens: O/U 40.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
—Over $2.2KUnder $68—
Jaguars vs. Ravens: O/U 42.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Over $1.2KUnder $445—
Will Manchester City win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?
same side · consensus No
—No $407K—No $335K
Spread: Jaguars (-9.5)
same side · consensus Ravens
—Ravens $192KRavens $1.2K—
Bitcoin all time high by December 31, 2026?
same side · consensus No
No $55K——No $87K
Will Bitcoin hit $150k by December 31, 2026?
same side · consensus No
No $26K——No $84K
Spread: Jaguars (-10.5)
same side · consensus Ravens
—Ravens $89KRavens $53—
Will Bitcoin reach $160,000 by December 31, 2026?
same side · consensus No
No $9.7K——No $42K
Will Bitcoin reach $140,000 by December 31, 2026?
same side · consensus No
No $22K——No $29K
Will Bitcoin reach $170,000 by December 31, 2026?
same side · consensus No
No $864——No $20K
Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 by December 31, 2026?
same side · consensus No
No $20K——No $678
Spread: Jaguars (-8.5)
same side · consensus Ravens
—Ravens $287Ravens $838—