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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
0xf705fa045201391d9632b7f3cde06a5e24453ca7Flaznorpndb1primm
Record (consensus markets)50% (1–1, n=2)49% (33–34, n=67)no settled market75% (9–3, n=12)
Consensus PnL$13K$35K$0$84K
Tracked asPM monthly #539PM monthly #14PM monthly #110PM monthly #40
Sides with the consensus67% (68 of 102 open)69% (169 of 246 open)74% (67 of 90 open)no open consensus position
Strongest topics
Weakest topic—NFL −24 pts, n=12NFL −7 pts, n=158—
Settled positions, side won51% of 728 at avg 48¢, ROI +5%56% of 3115 at avg 55¢, ROI +22%66% of 1537 at avg 66¢, ROI +2%99% of 1269 at avg 51¢, ROI +50%
Entries under 30¢51% (won 6% of 372)30% (won 9% of 919)13% (won 14% of 196)5% (won 95% of 59)
Entries 30–50¢3% (won 62% of 21)15% (won 37% of 455)18% (won 40% of 283)40% (won 99% of 512)
Entries 50–70¢4% (won 96% of 26)14% (won 63% of 439)23% (won 58% of 348)50% (won 100% of 633)
Entries 70¢ and up42% (won 99% of 309)42% (won 94% of 1302)46% (won 94% of 710)5% (won 100% of 65)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

6 on the same side, 0 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

Market0xf705fa045201391d9632b7f3cde06a5e24453ca7Flaznorpndb1primm
Bitcoin all time high by December 31, 2026?
same side · consensus No
No $56K—No $88K—
Will Bitcoin hit $150k by December 31, 2026?
same side · consensus No
No $26K—No $85K—
Will Bitcoin reach $160,000 by December 31, 2026?
same side · consensus No
No $9.8K—No $43K—
Will Bitcoin reach $140,000 by December 31, 2026?
same side · consensus No
No $22K—No $30K—
Will Bitcoin reach $170,000 by December 31, 2026?
same side · consensus No
No $868—No $20K—
Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 by December 31, 2026?
same side · consensus No
No $20K—No $682—