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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| 0xf705fa045201391d9632b7f3cde06a5e24453ca7 | joseph00677 | ndb1 | RN1 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 46% (280–330, n=610) | 45% (10–12, n=22) | 63% (993–576, n=1569) | 48% (14234–15729, n=29963) |
| Consensus PnL | $2.4M | $5.3M | $4.8M | $14.8M |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #294 | PM monthly #2 | PM monthly #97 | PM monthly #30 + pinned |
| Sides with the consensus | 66% (91 of 138 open) | no open consensus position | 69% (52 of 75 open) | 48% (13 of 27 open) |
| Strongest topics |
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| Weakest topic | — | — | NFL −9 pts, n=139 | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 51% of 712 at avg 48¢, ROI +5% | 59% of 17 at avg 57¢, ROI +31% | 64% of 1288 at avg 64¢, ROI +4% | 94% of 25975 at avg 59¢, ROI +35% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 51% (won 6% of 361) | 12% (won 0% of 2) | 13% (won 15% of 168) | 10% (won 57% of 2593) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 3% (won 62% of 21) | 6% (won 0% of 1) | 20% (won 39% of 256) | 22% (won 94% of 5682) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 4% (won 96% of 25) | 65% (won 73% of 11) | 24% (won 58% of 314) | 35% (won 99% of 9181) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 43% (won 99% of 305) | 18% (won 67% of 3) | 43% (won 93% of 550) | 33% (won 100% of 8519) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
7 on the same side, 1 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | 0xf705fa045201391d9632b7f3cde06a5e24453ca7 | joseph00677 | ndb1 | RN1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Bitcoin reach $95,000 by December 31, 2026? opposite sides · consensus No | Yes $2.7K | — | No $500K | — |
| Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 by December 31, 2026? same side · consensus Yes | Yes $9.4K | — | Yes $960K | — |
| Bitcoin all time high by December 31, 2026? same side · consensus No | No $55K | — | No $87K | — |
| Will Bitcoin hit $150k by December 31, 2026? same side · consensus No | No $26K | — | No $84K | — |
| Will Bitcoin reach $160,000 by December 31, 2026? same side · consensus No | No $9.7K | — | No $42K | — |
| Will Bitcoin reach $140,000 by December 31, 2026? same side · consensus No | No $22K | — | No $29K | — |
| Will Bitcoin reach $170,000 by December 31, 2026? same side · consensus No | No $864 | — | No $20K | — |
| Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 by December 31, 2026? same side · consensus No | No $20K | — | No $678 | — |