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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
0xf9b7876ba2c35370e0bedb7f8ee772da722aa37cBreakTheBankFlaznorpprimm
Record (consensus markets)no settled market45% (572–710, n=1282)52% (6509–6024, n=12533)50% (1105–1117, n=2222)
Consensus PnL—$7.9M$3.6M$3.6M
Tracked as—PM monthly #2PM monthly #10PM monthly #49
Sides with the consensusno open consensus position85% (28 of 33 open)69% (125 of 180 open)57% (4 of 7 open)
Strongest topicsnot computed yet
  • NFL +51 pts n=140, ROI +50%
  • NBA +49 pts n=98, ROI +47%
  • Soccer +40 pts n=282, ROI +37%
  • Tennis +13 pts n=53, ROI +24%
  • NHL +8 pts n=61, ROI +12%
  • Esports +9 pts n=13, ROI +14%
Weakest topic——Other Sports −13 pts, n=22—
Settled positions, side won—97% of 582 at avg 53¢, ROI +40%56% of 1617 at avg 55¢, ROI +27%99% of 1013 at avg 50¢, ROI +51%
Entries under 30¢—10% (won 82% of 60)29% (won 11% of 465)5% (won 94% of 51)
Entries 30–50¢—35% (won 98% of 204)16% (won 40% of 255)41% (won 99% of 412)
Entries 50–70¢—35% (won 100% of 202)16% (won 62% of 260)50% (won 99% of 503)
Entries 70¢ and up—20% (won 100% of 116)39% (won 94% of 637)5% (won 100% of 47)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

1 on the same side, 0 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

Market0xf9b7876ba2c35370e0bedb7f8ee772da722aa37cBreakTheBankFlaznorpprimm
UTSA vs. Florida Atlantic
same side · consensus UTSA
——Florida Atlantic $39Florida Atlantic $1.4K