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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
ferrariChampions2026BreakTheBankRN1zerone777
Record (consensus markets)43% (11779–15353, n=27132)41% (616–869, n=1485)48% (19699–21461, n=41160)27% (486–1331, n=1817)
Consensus PnL-$9.5M$8.4M$14.9M$34K
Tracked aswas PM monthly #87PM monthly #1PM monthly #35 + pinnedPM monthly #97
Sides with the consensus56% (5 of 9 open)88% (30 of 34 open)51% (22 of 43 open)100% (25 of 25 open)
Strongest topics
  • NFL +51 pts n=142, ROI +50%
  • NBA +49 pts n=107, ROI +47%
  • Soccer +40 pts n=282, ROI +37%
none with 10+ settled
Weakest topic———Mentions −2 pts, n=50
Settled positions, side won100% of 5556 at avg 60¢, ROI +8%97% of 593 at avg 53¢, ROI +40%94% of 26124 at avg 59¢, ROI +35%40% of 650 at avg 41¢, ROI +14%
Entries under 30¢4% (won 97% of 237)10% (won 82% of 60)10% (won 57% of 2594)53% (won 2% of 345)
Entries 30–50¢26% (won 100% of 1446)36% (won 98% of 212)22% (won 94% of 5704)5% (won 32% of 34)
Entries 50–70¢40% (won 100% of 2198)35% (won 100% of 205)35% (won 99% of 9204)7% (won 65% of 46)
Entries 70¢ and up30% (won 100% of 1675)20% (won 100% of 116)33% (won 100% of 8622)35% (won 95% of 225)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

2 on the same side, 2 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarketferrariChampions2026BreakTheBankRN1zerone777
Matsuyama: Billy Harris vs Liam Broady
opposite sides · consensus Billy Harris
Liam Broady $2.0K—Billy Harris $6.2K—
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
Under $1.2K—Over $1.8K—
Spread: Cavaliers (-8.5)
same side · consensus Hornets
Cavaliers $1.5K—Cavaliers $708—
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: 1st Half O/U 0.5
same side · consensus Under
Over $1.3K—Over $360—