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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| ferrariChampions2026 | BreakTheBank | ifyouloveme | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 43% (11777–15355, n=27132) | 41% (616–869, n=1485) | 56% (357–283, n=640) |
| Consensus PnL | -$9.5M | $8.4M | $66K |
| Tracked as | was PM monthly #87 | PM monthly #1 | PM monthly #304 |
| Sides with the consensus | 75% (3 of 4 open) | 88% (29 of 33 open) | 77% (53 of 69 open) |
| Strongest topics |
| ||
| Weakest topic | — | — | Geopolitics ±0 pts, n=88 |
| Settled positions, side won | 100% of 5556 at avg 60¢, ROI +8% | 97% of 593 at avg 53¢, ROI +40% | 53% of 582 at avg 48¢, ROI +6% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 4% (won 97% of 237) | 10% (won 82% of 60) | 37% (won 15% of 213) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 26% (won 100% of 1446) | 36% (won 98% of 212) | 17% (won 55% of 97) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 40% (won 100% of 2198) | 35% (won 100% of 205) | 16% (won 66% of 93) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 30% (won 100% of 1675) | 20% (won 100% of 116) | 31% (won 93% of 179) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
0 on the same side, 1 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | ferrariChampions2026 | BreakTheBank | ifyouloveme |
|---|---|---|---|
| Will Republicans lose the Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas Senate seats? opposite sides · consensus Yes | — | No $37K | Yes $1.6K |