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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
BreakTheBankferrariChampions2026ifyoulovemeS-Works
Record (consensus markets)41% (616–869, n=1485)43% (11777–15355, n=27132)56% (357–283, n=640)75% (2552–856, n=3408)
Consensus PnL$8.4M-$9.5M$66K$3.6M
Tracked asPM monthly #1was PM monthly #87PM monthly #304PM monthly #66
Sides with the consensus88% (29 of 33 open)75% (3 of 4 open)77% (53 of 69 open)0% (0 of 1 open)
Strongest topics
  • NFL +51 pts n=142, ROI +50%
  • NBA +49 pts n=107, ROI +47%
  • Soccer +40 pts n=282, ROI +37%
  • Esports +5 pts n=492, ROI +4%
  • MLB +4 pts n=308, ROI −2%
  • NBA +3 pts n=383, ROI +1%
Weakest topic——Geopolitics ±0 pts, n=88Crypto −1 pts, n=46
Settled positions, side won97% of 593 at avg 53¢, ROI +40%100% of 5556 at avg 60¢, ROI +8%53% of 582 at avg 48¢, ROI +6%75% of 2256 at avg 72¢, ROI +2%
Entries under 30¢10% (won 82% of 60)4% (won 97% of 237)37% (won 15% of 213)6% (won 14% of 145)
Entries 30–50¢36% (won 98% of 212)26% (won 100% of 1446)17% (won 55% of 97)16% (won 48% of 367)
Entries 50–70¢35% (won 100% of 205)40% (won 100% of 2198)16% (won 66% of 93)23% (won 60% of 509)
Entries 70¢ and up20% (won 100% of 116)30% (won 100% of 1675)31% (won 93% of 179)55% (won 96% of 1235)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

0 on the same side, 2 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarketBreakTheBankferrariChampions2026ifyoulovemeS-Works
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
——Yes $90KNo $2.4M
Will Republicans lose the Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas Senate seats?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
No $37K—Yes $1.6K—