Skip to content

Database problems: some data is degraded. We're fixing it right now.

Details
PolyConsensus
← Traders

Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
ferrariChampions2026Ethanael02Flaznorpprimm
Record (consensus markets)35% (3637–6661, n=10298)63% (103–60, n=163)52% (6450–5961, n=12411)50% (1106–1117, n=2223)
Consensus PnL$3.0M-$15K$3.3M$3.6M
Tracked asPM monthly #825PM monthly #993PM monthly #24PM monthly #46
Sides with the consensus76% (13 of 17 open)100% (1 of 1 open)74% (141 of 191 open)no open consensus position
Strongest topicsnot computed yet
  • Tennis +14 pts n=49, ROI +25%
  • NHL +9 pts n=57, ROI +13%
  • Esports +9 pts n=13, ROI +14%
Weakest topic——Other Sports −13 pts, n=22—
Settled positions, side won—94% of 78 at avg 74¢, ROI +19%56% of 1482 at avg 54¢, ROI +28%99% of 987 at avg 50¢, ROI +51%
Entries under 30¢—0%29% (won 11% of 423)5% (won 94% of 51)
Entries 30–50¢—9% (won 86% of 7)16% (won 40% of 243)41% (won 99% of 405)
Entries 50–70¢—32% (won 92% of 25)17% (won 62% of 255)49% (won 99% of 485)
Entries 70¢ and up—59% (won 96% of 46)38% (won 94% of 561)5% (won 100% of 46)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

8 on the same side, 2 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarketferrariChampions2026Ethanael02Flaznorpprimm
Will Athletic Club win on 2026-10-10?
opposite sides · consensus No
No $154—Yes $2.6K—
Big Bash League, Women: Adelaide Strikers vs Brisbane Heat
opposite sides · consensus Adelaide Strikers
Brisbane Heat $147—Adelaide Strikers $57—
Prudential Hong Kong Tennis Open: Elena Pridankina vs Alexandra Shubladze
same side · consensus Alexandra Shubladze
Alexandra Shubladze $170K—Alexandra Shubladze $18K—
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 2.5
same side · consensus Under
Under $1.6K—Under $14K—
Prudential Hong Kong Tennis Open: Sorana Cirstea vs Mary Stoiana
same side · consensus Sorana Cirstea
Sorana Cirstea $654—Sorana Cirstea $275—
Prudential Hong Kong Tennis Open: Tereza Valentova vs Alexandra Eala
same side · consensus Alexandra Eala
Alexandra Eala $708—Alexandra Eala $96—
Nepal Premier League: Lumbini Lions vs Janakpur Bolts
same side · consensus Lumbini Lions
Lumbini Lions $82—Lumbini Lions $40—
ACC Men's U19 Asia Cup: Bangladesh Under-19s vs Afghanistan Under-19s
same side · consensus Afghanistan Under-19s
Afghanistan Under-19s $31—Afghanistan Under-19s $3—
Big Bash League, Women: Sydney Thunder vs Perth Scorchers
same side · consensus Perth Scorchers
Perth Scorchers $9—Perth Scorchers $11—
Luanda: Anna Blinkova vs Zongyu Li
same side · consensus Anna Blinkova
Zongyu Li $11—Zongyu Li $2—