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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
0xheavy88800gringo000x492442EaB586F242B53bDa933fD5dE859c8A3782-1766317541188RN1
Record (consensus markets)57% (4545–3364, n=7909)75% (6–2, n=8)46% (131–154, n=285)47% (13858–15341, n=29199)
Consensus PnL$392K$3.5M$19.0M$13.4M
Tracked asPM monthly #201 + pinnedwas PM monthly #19was PM monthly #715PM monthly #24 + pinned
Sides with the consensus79% (45 of 57 open)no open consensus positionno open consensus position50% (2 of 4 open)
Strongest topicsnone with 10+ settlednot computed yet
Weakest topicSoccer −2 pts, n=2137———
Settled positions, side won56% of 6372 at avg 56¢, ROI 0%86% of 7 at avg 59¢, ROI +25%—94% of 24804 at avg 58¢, ROI +35%
Entries under 30¢9% (won 8% of 591)0%—10% (won 57% of 2537)
Entries 30–50¢26% (won 42% of 1670)0%—22% (won 94% of 5518)
Entries 50–70¢38% (won 61% of 2449)100% (won 86% of 7)—36% (won 99% of 8928)
Entries 70¢ and up26% (won 82% of 1662)0%—32% (won 100% of 7821)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

2 on the same side, 1 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

Market0xheavy88800gringo000x492442EaB586F242B53bDa933fD5dE859c8A3782-1766317541188RN1
Chennai Open: Aliona Falei vs Magda Linette
opposite sides · consensus Magda Linette
Magda Linette $36——Aliona Falei $914
Taipei: Joel Schwaerzler vs Jan Kumstat
same side · consensus Jan Kumstat
Jan Kumstat $16——Jan Kumstat $10K
Rolex Paris Masters: Luciano Darderi vs Rinky Hijikata
same side · consensus Rinky Hijikata
Luciano Darderi $106——Luciano Darderi $5