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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
0xheavy88800gringo00joseph00677RN1
Record (consensus markets)57% (4546–3364, n=7910)75% (6–2, n=8)50% (10–10, n=20)47% (13860–15341, n=29201)
Consensus PnL$392K$3.5M$5.3M$13.4M
Tracked asPM monthly #201 + pinnedwas PM monthly #19PM monthly #2PM monthly #24 + pinned
Sides with the consensus75% (45 of 60 open)no open consensus positionno open consensus position71% (5 of 7 open)
Strongest topicsnone with 10+ settled
Weakest topicSoccer −2 pts, n=2137———
Settled positions, side won56% of 6372 at avg 56¢, ROI 0%86% of 7 at avg 59¢, ROI +25%59% of 17 at avg 57¢, ROI +31%94% of 24804 at avg 58¢, ROI +35%
Entries under 30¢9% (won 8% of 591)0%12% (won 0% of 2)10% (won 57% of 2537)
Entries 30–50¢26% (won 42% of 1670)0%6% (won 0% of 1)22% (won 94% of 5518)
Entries 50–70¢38% (won 61% of 2449)100% (won 86% of 7)65% (won 73% of 11)36% (won 99% of 8928)
Entries 70¢ and up26% (won 82% of 1662)0%18% (won 67% of 3)32% (won 100% of 7821)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

1 on the same side, 1 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

Market0xheavy88800gringo00joseph00677RN1
Rolex Paris Masters: Ignacio Buse vs Zizou Bergs
opposite sides · consensus Ignacio Buse
Zizou Bergs $117——Ignacio Buse $42K
Prudential Hong Kong Tennis Open: Venus Williams vs Mary Stoiana
same side · consensus Mary Stoiana
Mary Stoiana $438——Mary Stoiana $18K