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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
1112200gringo00CORGIIbeachboy4
Record (consensus markets)32% (463–999, n=1462)75% (6–2, n=8)61% (393–247, n=640)68% (43–20, n=63)
Consensus PnL$656K$3.5M$4.5M$5.8M
Tracked aswas PM monthly #943 + pinnedwas PM monthly #19PM monthly #68was PM monthly #24
Sides with the consensus81% (143 of 177 open)no open consensus position50% (1 of 2 open)100% (2 of 2 open)
Strongest topicsnone with 10+ settled
  • NHL +27 pts n=13, ROI +19%
  • Soccer +10 pts n=81, ROI +5%
Weakest topicCollege Basketball −12 pts, n=66——NBA −6 pts, n=92
Settled positions, side won31% of 1670 at avg 30¢, ROI −1%86% of 7 at avg 59¢, ROI +25%98% of 399 at avg 46¢, ROI +55%57% of 212 at avg 54¢, ROI +3%
Entries under 30¢66% (won 4% of 1099)0%9% (won 92% of 36)3% (won 17% of 6)
Entries 30–50¢6% (won 39% of 94)0%56% (won 99% of 223)29% (won 56% of 62)
Entries 50–70¢6% (won 62% of 102)100% (won 86% of 7)33% (won 100% of 133)54% (won 51% of 115)
Entries 70¢ and up22% (won 98% of 375)0%2% (won 100% of 7)14% (won 86% of 29)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

2 on the same side, 0 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

Market1112200gringo00CORGIIbeachboy4
Will Donald Trump win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
same side · consensus Yes
Yes $1.1K——Yes $4.1K
Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
same side · consensus Yes
Yes $1.3K——Yes $68