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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| 11122 | sainttroplay | CORGII | beachboy4 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 32% (464–1001, n=1465) | 71% (10–4, n=14) | 62% (393–245, n=638) | 68% (43–20, n=63) |
| Consensus PnL | $656K | $4.4M | $4.5M | $5.8M |
| Tracked as | was PM monthly #943 + pinned | was PM monthly #11 | PM monthly #68 | was PM monthly #24 |
| Sides with the consensus | 83% (143 of 173 open) | no open consensus position | 0% (0 of 4 open) | 100% (1 of 1 open) |
| Strongest topics |
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| ||
| Weakest topic | College Basketball −12 pts, n=66 | — | — | NBA −6 pts, n=92 |
| Settled positions, side won | 31% of 1672 at avg 30¢, ROI −1% | 100% of 10 at avg 49¢, ROI +52% | 98% of 399 at avg 46¢, ROI +55% | 57% of 212 at avg 54¢, ROI +3% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 66% (won 4% of 1099) | 0% | 9% (won 92% of 36) | 3% (won 17% of 6) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 6% (won 39% of 94) | 50% (won 100% of 5) | 56% (won 99% of 223) | 29% (won 56% of 62) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 6% (won 62% of 102) | 50% (won 100% of 5) | 33% (won 100% of 133) | 54% (won 51% of 115) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 23% (won 98% of 377) | 0% | 2% (won 100% of 7) | 14% (won 86% of 29) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
1 on the same side, 0 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | 11122 | sainttroplay | CORGII | beachboy4 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Donald Trump win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? same side · consensus Yes | Yes $1.1K | — | — | Yes $4.2K |