← Traders
Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| 123987456 | BreakTheBank | beachboy4 | 0x5966Db1fE50763C9e3C014d756369BAd07E1F804-1777648534241 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 43% (1416–1841, n=3257) | 45% (537–652, n=1189) | 68% (43–20, n=63) | 56% (101–79, n=180) |
| Consensus PnL | $49K | $10.6M | $5.8M | $3.5M |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #142 | PM monthly #1 | was PM monthly #24 | was PM monthly #373 |
| Sides with the consensus | 64% (23 of 36 open) | 85% (53 of 62 open) | 100% (2 of 2 open) | no open consensus position |
| Strongest topics | ||||
| Weakest topic | Tech −2 pts, n=197 | — | NBA −6 pts, n=92 | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 51% of 2839 at avg 50¢, ROI +1% | 97% of 552 at avg 53¢, ROI +41% | 57% of 212 at avg 54¢, ROI +3% | 94% of 111 at avg 58¢, ROI +42% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 43% (won 4% of 1214) | 10% (won 82% of 56) | 3% (won 17% of 6) | 7% (won 75% of 8) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 7% (won 49% of 198) | 36% (won 98% of 198) | 29% (won 56% of 62) | 26% (won 93% of 29) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 7% (won 67% of 201) | 35% (won 99% of 191) | 54% (won 51% of 115) | 42% (won 96% of 47) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 43% (won 96% of 1226) | 19% (won 100% of 107) | 14% (won 86% of 29) | 24% (won 96% of 27) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
1 on the same side, 0 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | 123987456 | BreakTheBank | beachboy4 | 0x5966Db1fE50763C9e3C014d756369BAd07E1F804-1777648534241 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, R House same side · consensus Yes | Yes $12 | Yes $15K | — | — |