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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
2829CORGIIbeachboy4primm
Record (consensus markets)46% (462–536, n=998)62% (393–245, n=638)68% (43–20, n=63)50% (941–941, n=1882)
Consensus PnL-$36K$4.5M$5.8M$3.4M
Tracked aswas PM monthly #604PM monthly #68was PM monthly #24PM monthly #181
Sides with the consensus75% (3 of 4 open)0% (0 of 4 open)100% (1 of 1 open)60% (25 of 42 open)
Strongest topics
  • NHL +27 pts n=13, ROI +19%
  • Soccer +10 pts n=81, ROI +5%
Weakest topicNHL −15 pts, n=17—NBA −6 pts, n=92—
Settled positions, side won56% of 760 at avg 50¢, ROI +1%98% of 399 at avg 46¢, ROI +55%57% of 212 at avg 54¢, ROI +3%99% of 883 at avg 50¢, ROI +51%
Entries under 30¢19% (won 19% of 144)9% (won 92% of 36)3% (won 17% of 6)5% (won 93% of 43)
Entries 30–50¢28% (won 41% of 213)56% (won 99% of 223)29% (won 56% of 62)41% (won 99% of 366)
Entries 50–70¢34% (won 70% of 257)33% (won 100% of 133)54% (won 51% of 115)49% (won 99% of 433)
Entries 70¢ and up19% (won 89% of 146)2% (won 100% of 7)14% (won 86% of 29)5% (won 100% of 41)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

1 on the same side, 1 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

Market2829CORGIIbeachboy4primm
Falcons vs. Buccaneers: O/U 26.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
Under $4.7K——Over $4.0K
Falcons vs. Buccaneers
same side · consensus Buccaneers
Buccaneers $356——Buccaneers $4.9K