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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
2B9SRN10x5966Db1fE50763C9e3C014d756369BAd07E1F804-1777648534241BreakTheBank
Record (consensus markets)9% (1644–16134, n=17778)47% (13849–15328, n=29177)56% (101–79, n=180)45% (542–652, n=1194)
Consensus PnL$97K$13.4M$3.5M$10.6M
Tracked asHand-pickedPM monthly #24 + pinnedwas PM monthly #373PM monthly #1
Sides with the consensus58% (77 of 133 open)100% (2 of 2 open)no open consensus position89% (143 of 160 open)
Strongest topics
  • NBA +3 pts n=265, ROI +1%
  • Esports +3 pts n=209, ROI +1%
  • NHL +3 pts n=147, ROI +1%
  • MLB +46 pts n=20, ROI +49%
  • Esports +35 pts n=28, ROI +47%
  • Soccer +30 pts n=52, ROI +38%
  • NFL +51 pts n=134, ROI +50%
  • NBA +49 pts n=93, ROI +48%
  • Soccer +40 pts n=279, ROI +38%
Weakest topicTech −1 pts, n=647———
Settled positions, side won4% of 12244 at avg 4¢, ROI 0%94% of 24804 at avg 58¢, ROI +35%94% of 111 at avg 58¢, ROI +42%97% of 552 at avg 53¢, ROI +41%
Entries under 30¢99% (won 3% of 12071)10% (won 57% of 2537)7% (won 75% of 8)10% (won 82% of 56)
Entries 30–50¢1% (won 53% of 66)22% (won 94% of 5518)26% (won 93% of 29)36% (won 98% of 198)
Entries 50–70¢0% (won 77% of 22)36% (won 99% of 8928)42% (won 96% of 47)35% (won 99% of 191)
Entries 70¢ and up1% (won 78% of 85)32% (won 100% of 7821)24% (won 96% of 27)19% (won 100% of 107)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

1 on the same side, 0 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

Market2B9SRN10x5966Db1fE50763C9e3C014d756369BAd07E1F804-1777648534241BreakTheBank
Will the Republicans win the South Carolina Senate race in 2026?
same side · consensus Yes
No $73——No $12K