← Traders
Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| 2B9S | RN1 | beachboy4 | CORGII | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 10% (1540–13614, n=15154) | 48% (12896–14023, n=26919) | 68% (43–20, n=63) | 62% (393–246, n=639) |
| Consensus PnL | $97K | $13.4M | $5.8M | $4.5M |
| Tracked as | Hand-picked | PM monthly #24 + pinned | was PM monthly #24 | PM monthly #68 |
| Sides with the consensus | 64% (63 of 99 open) | 82% (14 of 17 open) | 100% (2 of 2 open) | 33% (1 of 3 open) |
| Strongest topics |
| |||
| Weakest topic | Tech −1 pts, n=648 | — | NBA −6 pts, n=92 | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 4% of 12253 at avg 4¢, ROI 0% | 94% of 24664 at avg 58¢, ROI +35% | 57% of 212 at avg 54¢, ROI +3% | 98% of 399 at avg 46¢, ROI +55% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 99% (won 3% of 12082) | 10% (won 56% of 2534) | 3% (won 17% of 6) | 9% (won 92% of 36) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 1% (won 53% of 66) | 22% (won 94% of 5497) | 29% (won 56% of 62) | 56% (won 99% of 223) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 0% (won 77% of 22) | 36% (won 99% of 8897) | 54% (won 51% of 115) | 33% (won 100% of 133) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 1% (won 77% of 83) | 31% (won 100% of 7736) | 14% (won 86% of 29) | 2% (won 100% of 7) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
1 on the same side, 0 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | 2B9S | RN1 | beachboy4 | CORGII |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? same side · consensus Yes | Yes $6.9K | — | Yes $68 | — |