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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
Add:0x492442EaB586F242B53bDa933fD5dE859c8A3782-1766317541188BreakTheBankbeachboy4joseph006770xBc43c8bfBC4d77c2FC9011adaD38Ba43b88996d3-1765231687816CORGII
| 38791873984189 | surfandturf | RN1 | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 45% (5772–6954, n=12726) | 52% (273–252, n=525) | 47% (13860–15343, n=29203) |
| Consensus PnL | $27K | $4.1M | $13.4M |
| Tracked as | was PM monthly #943 | was PM monthly #326 | PM monthly #24 + pinned |
| Sides with the consensus | 49% (65 of 133 open) | 50% (1 of 2 open) | 67% (4 of 6 open) |
| Strongest topics |
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| |
| Weakest topic | Soccer −1 pts, n=391 | NFL −11 pts, n=58 | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 46% of 1801 at avg 45¢, ROI +1% | 53% of 536 at avg 53¢, ROI 0% | 94% of 24804 at avg 58¢, ROI +35% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 18% (won 7% of 326) | 20% (won 12% of 109) | 10% (won 57% of 2537) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 64% (won 48% of 1149) | 21% (won 46% of 114) | 22% (won 94% of 5518) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 9% (won 64% of 162) | 33% (won 60% of 176) | 36% (won 99% of 8928) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 9% (won 90% of 164) | 26% (won 82% of 137) | 32% (won 100% of 7821) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
4 on the same side, 1 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | 38791873984189 | surfandturf | RN1 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Luanda: Isabella Shinikova vs Dune Vaissaud opposite sides · consensus Isabella Shinikova | Isabella Shinikova $366 | — | Dune Vaissaud $273 |
| Rolex Paris Masters: Lorenzo Musetti vs Hubert Hurkacz same side · consensus Hubert Hurkacz | Lorenzo Musetti $6.0K | — | Lorenzo Musetti $46K |
| Rolex Paris Masters: Ignacio Buse vs Zizou Bergs same side · consensus Ignacio Buse | Ignacio Buse $3.8K | — | Ignacio Buse $42K |
| Prudential Hong Kong Tennis Open: Venus Williams vs Mary Stoiana same side · consensus Mary Stoiana | Mary Stoiana $900 | — | Mary Stoiana $21K |
| Will Athletic Club win on 2026-10-10? same side · consensus No | No $952 | — | No $7.7K |