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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
38791873984189surfandturfRN1CORGII
Record (consensus markets)45% (5778–6961, n=12739)52% (273–252, n=525)47% (13868–15346, n=29214)61% (395–248, n=643)
Consensus PnL$26K$4.1M$13.4M$4.5M
Tracked aswas PM monthly #943was PM monthly #326PM monthly #24 + pinnedPM monthly #68
Sides with the consensus59% (151 of 257 open)0% (0 of 2 open)94% (15 of 16 open)no open consensus position
Strongest topics
  • MMA +4 pts n=148, ROI +10%
  • NBA +4 pts n=76, ROI +12%
Weakest topicSoccer −1 pts, n=391NFL −11 pts, n=58——
Settled positions, side won46% of 1801 at avg 45¢, ROI +1%53% of 536 at avg 53¢, ROI 0%94% of 24804 at avg 58¢, ROI +35%98% of 399 at avg 46¢, ROI +55%
Entries under 30¢18% (won 7% of 326)20% (won 12% of 109)10% (won 57% of 2537)9% (won 92% of 36)
Entries 30–50¢64% (won 48% of 1149)21% (won 46% of 114)22% (won 94% of 5518)56% (won 99% of 223)
Entries 50–70¢9% (won 64% of 162)33% (won 60% of 176)36% (won 99% of 8928)33% (won 100% of 133)
Entries 70¢ and up9% (won 90% of 164)26% (won 82% of 137)32% (won 100% of 7821)2% (won 100% of 7)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

4 on the same side, 1 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

Market38791873984189surfandturfRN1CORGII
Rolex Paris Masters: Alejandro Tabilo vs Rafael Jodar
opposite sides · consensus Rafael Jodar
Rafael Jodar $930—Alejandro Tabilo $59—
Will Athletic Club win on 2026-10-10?
same side · consensus No
No $952—No $7.7K—
Rolex Paris Masters: Luca Van Assche vs Mariano Navone
same side · consensus Luca Van Assche
Luca Van Assche $2.1K—Luca Van Assche $1.4K—
Prudential Hong Kong Tennis Open: Xinyu Wang vs Adithya Karunaratne
same side · consensus Xinyu Wang
Xinyu Wang $1.1K—Xinyu Wang $1.8K—
Will ACF Fiorentina win on 2026-11-02?
same side · consensus No
No $112—No $23—