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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
50-PenceFlaznorpjoseph00677primm
Record (consensus markets)no settled market52% (7690–6979, n=14669)43% (10–13, n=23)50% (1246–1260, n=2506)
Consensus PnL—$4.1M$3.3M$3.6M
Tracked as—PM monthly #9PM monthly #8PM monthly #53
Sides with the consensusno open consensus position71% (115 of 161 open)no open consensus position46% (11 of 24 open)
Strongest topicsnot computed yet
  • Tennis +13 pts n=52, ROI +24%
  • NHL +9 pts n=58, ROI +14%
  • Esports +9 pts n=13, ROI +14%
Weakest topic—Other Sports −28 pts, n=15——
Settled positions, side won—56% of 1398 at avg 54¢, ROI +28%59% of 17 at avg 57¢, ROI +31%99% of 1027 at avg 50¢, ROI +51%
Entries under 30¢—29% (won 11% of 403)12% (won 0% of 2)5% (won 94% of 51)
Entries 30–50¢—16% (won 38% of 228)6% (won 0% of 1)41% (won 99% of 421)
Entries 50–70¢—15% (won 62% of 214)65% (won 73% of 11)49% (won 99% of 508)
Entries 70¢ and up—40% (won 94% of 553)18% (won 67% of 3)5% (won 100% of 47)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

1 on the same side, 1 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

Market50-PenceFlaznorpjoseph00677primm
Broncos vs. Panthers
opposite sides · consensus Broncos
—Broncos $1.4K—Panthers $6.6K
Cowboys vs. Colts
same side · consensus Cowboys
—Colts $63—Colts $5.7K