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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| 6512395314597884 | beachboy4 | joseph00677 | RN1 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 55% (2458–1998, n=4456) | 67% (43–21, n=64) | 53% (10–9, n=19) | 47% (14348–15981, n=30329) |
| Consensus PnL | $46K | $6.1M | $5.6M | $14.8M |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #79 | was PM monthly #24 | PM monthly #2 | PM monthly #18 + pinned |
| Sides with the consensus | 52% (11 of 21 open) | 100% (1 of 1 open) | no open consensus position | 55% (42 of 77 open) |
| Strongest topics |
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| Weakest topic | — | NBA −6 pts, n=93 | — | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 56% of 3094 at avg 50¢, ROI +4% | 57% of 213 at avg 54¢, ROI +3% | 59% of 17 at avg 57¢, ROI +31% | 94% of 25801 at avg 59¢, ROI +35% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 19% (won 10% of 577) | 3% (won 17% of 6) | 12% (won 0% of 2) | 10% (won 57% of 2606) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 28% (won 45% of 869) | 30% (won 57% of 63) | 6% (won 0% of 1) | 22% (won 94% of 5665) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 34% (won 71% of 1038) | 54% (won 51% of 115) | 65% (won 73% of 11) | 36% (won 99% of 9185) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 20% (won 90% of 610) | 14% (won 86% of 29) | 18% (won 67% of 3) | 32% (won 100% of 8345) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
3 on the same side, 4 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | 6512395314597884 | beachboy4 | joseph00677 | RN1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rolex Paris Masters: Jan-Lennard Struff vs Arthur Gea opposite sides · consensus Jan-Lennard Struff | Jan-Lennard Struff $21K | — | — | Arthur Gea $13K |
| Cali: Rebeka Masarova vs Alice Tubello opposite sides · consensus Alice Tubello | Alice Tubello $3.6K | — | — | Rebeka Masarova $15 |
| Rolex Paris Masters: Casper Ruud vs Rafael Jodar opposite sides · consensus Rafael Jodar | Rafael Jodar $1.6K | — | — | Casper Ruud $277 |
| Cali: Maria Lourdes Carle vs Despina Papamichail opposite sides · consensus Despina Papamichail | Maria Lourdes Carle $65 | — | — | Despina Papamichail $1.5K |
| Villa Maria: Alan Magadan vs Valerio Aboian same side · consensus Valerio Aboian | Valerio Aboian $6.2K | — | — | Valerio Aboian $8.0K |
| Bratislava 2: Dalibor Svrcina vs Norbert Gombos same side · consensus Dalibor Svrcina | Norbert Gombos $1.7K | — | — | Norbert Gombos $24 |
| Costa do Sauipe: Rafael Tosetto vs Franco Roncadelli same side · consensus Franco Roncadelli | Rafael Tosetto $407 | — | — | Rafael Tosetto $467 |