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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
8DDDBreakTheBank
Record (consensus markets)70% (28–12, n=40)45% (526–640, n=1166)
Consensus PnL$137K$10.6M
Tracked asPM monthly #375PM monthly #1
Sides with the consensus57% (4 of 7 open)78% (42 of 54 open)
Strongest topics
  • MMA +33 pts n=12, ROI +24%
  • Soccer +17 pts n=12, ROI +9%
  • NFL +50 pts n=123, ROI +50%
  • NBA +49 pts n=93, ROI +48%
  • Soccer +41 pts n=277, ROI +38%
Weakest topic——
Settled positions, side won71% of 34 at avg 51¢, ROI +11%98% of 539 at avg 53¢, ROI +41%
Entries under 30¢26% (won 11% of 9)10% (won 85% of 53)
Entries 30–50¢15% (won 60% of 5)36% (won 98% of 192)
Entries 50–70¢26% (won 100% of 9)35% (won 99% of 187)
Entries 70¢ and up32% (won 100% of 11)20% (won 100% of 107)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

0 on the same side, 4 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

Market8DDDBreakTheBank
Will Republicans lose the Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas Senate seats?
opposite sides · consensus No
Yes $8.9KNo $411K
Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?
opposite sides · consensus No
No $19KYes $85K
Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026?
opposite sides · consensus No
No $42KYes $38K
Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
Yes $21KNo $35K