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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
8DDDBreakTheBankRN1
Record (consensus markets)70% (28–12, n=40)45% (526–640, n=1166)48% (12823–13908, n=26731)
Consensus PnL$137K$10.6M$13.4M
Tracked asPM monthly #375PM monthly #1PM monthly #24 + pinned
Sides with the consensus67% (6 of 9 open)72% (78 of 108 open)56% (79 of 141 open)
Strongest topics
  • MMA +33 pts n=12, ROI +24%
  • Soccer +17 pts n=12, ROI +9%
  • NFL +50 pts n=123, ROI +50%
  • NBA +49 pts n=93, ROI +48%
  • Soccer +41 pts n=277, ROI +38%
Weakest topic———
Settled positions, side won71% of 34 at avg 51¢, ROI +11%98% of 539 at avg 53¢, ROI +41%94% of 24664 at avg 58¢, ROI +35%
Entries under 30¢26% (won 11% of 9)10% (won 85% of 53)10% (won 56% of 2534)
Entries 30–50¢15% (won 60% of 5)36% (won 98% of 192)22% (won 94% of 5497)
Entries 50–70¢26% (won 100% of 9)35% (won 99% of 187)36% (won 99% of 8897)
Entries 70¢ and up32% (won 100% of 11)20% (won 100% of 107)31% (won 100% of 7736)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

7 on the same side, 9 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

Market8DDDBreakTheBankRN1
Will Republicans lose the Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas Senate seats?
opposite sides · consensus No
Yes $10KNo $411K—
Spread: Steelers (-3.5)
opposite sides · consensus Browns
—Browns $297KSteelers $1.9K
Raiders vs. Jets
opposite sides · consensus Raiders
—Raiders $171KJets $11K
Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?
opposite sides · consensus No
No $19KYes $77K—
Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026?
opposite sides · consensus No
No $42KYes $37K—
Cardinals vs. Cowboys
opposite sides · consensus Cowboys
—Cardinals $59KCowboys $12K
Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
Yes $14KNo $35K—
Spread: Raiders (-1.5)
opposite sides · consensus Jets
—Raiders $17KJets $43
Spread: Cowboys (-6.5)
opposite sides · consensus Cowboys
—Cardinals $3.0KCowboys $1.4K
Ravens vs. Bills
same side · consensus Bills
—Bills $378KBills $28K
Spread: Jets (-1.5)
same side · consensus Raiders
—Raiders $104KRaiders $4.3K
Spread: Bills (-3.5)
same side · consensus Ravens
—Bills $51KBills $18K
Spread: Celtics (-6.5)
same side · consensus Magic
—Magic $51KMagic $228
Spread: Jets (-2.5)
same side · consensus Raiders
—Raiders $24KRaiders $2.7K
Will Chelsea win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?
same side · consensus Yes
Yes $162Yes $14K—
Spread: Celtics (-8.5)
same side · consensus Magic
—Magic $13KMagic $161