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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
ARocky33CORGIIbeachboy4RN1
Record (consensus markets)78% (3997–1101, n=5098)62% (393–245, n=638)68% (43–20, n=63)48% (12823–13908, n=26731)
Consensus PnL$108K$4.5M$5.8M$13.4M
Tracked asPM monthly #362PM monthly #68was PM monthly #24PM monthly #24 + pinned
Sides with the consensus80% (4 of 5 open)0% (0 of 4 open)100% (1 of 1 open)53% (62 of 117 open)
Strongest topics
  • Soccer +12 pts n=2412, ROI +14%
  • NHL +27 pts n=13, ROI +19%
  • Soccer +10 pts n=81, ROI +5%
Weakest topic——NBA −6 pts, n=92—
Settled positions, side won87% of 2412 at avg 75¢, ROI +14%98% of 399 at avg 46¢, ROI +55%57% of 212 at avg 54¢, ROI +3%94% of 24664 at avg 58¢, ROI +35%
Entries under 30¢5% (won 47% of 114)9% (won 92% of 36)3% (won 17% of 6)10% (won 56% of 2534)
Entries 30–50¢8% (won 68% of 203)56% (won 99% of 223)29% (won 56% of 62)22% (won 94% of 5497)
Entries 50–70¢17% (won 80% of 411)33% (won 100% of 133)54% (won 51% of 115)36% (won 99% of 8897)
Entries 70¢ and up70% (won 94% of 1684)2% (won 100% of 7)14% (won 86% of 29)31% (won 100% of 7736)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

2 on the same side, 1 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarketARocky33CORGIIbeachboy4RN1
Olympique de Marseille vs. Toulouse FC: Both Teams to Score
opposite sides · consensus Yes
Yes $1.1K——No $185
Will Olympique de Marseille vs. Toulouse FC end in a draw?
same side · consensus No
No $16——No $4.1K
Telstar 1963 vs. FC Utrecht: O/U 5.5
same side · consensus Over
Over $92——Over $20