Skip to content

Database problems: some data is degraded. We're fixing it right now.

Details
PolyConsensus
← Traders

Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
Aceplus3BreakTheBankferrariChampions2026Flaznorp
Record (consensus markets)no settled market41% (589–853, n=1442)43% (11687–15248, n=26935)55% (13164–10557, n=23721)
Consensus PnL$17K$8.4M-$9.5M$1.9M
Tracked asPM monthly #916PM monthly #1was PM monthly #87PM monthly #14
Sides with the consensusno open consensus position88% (29 of 33 open)50% (5 of 10 open)72% (94 of 130 open)
Strongest topicsnot computed yet
  • NFL +51 pts n=142, ROI +50%
  • NBA +49 pts n=107, ROI +47%
  • Soccer +40 pts n=282, ROI +37%
  • Tennis +13 pts n=52, ROI +24%
  • NHL +9 pts n=58, ROI +14%
  • Esports +9 pts n=13, ROI +14%
Weakest topic———Other Sports −28 pts, n=15
Settled positions, side won—97% of 593 at avg 53¢, ROI +40%100% of 5556 at avg 60¢, ROI +8%56% of 1398 at avg 54¢, ROI +28%
Entries under 30¢—10% (won 82% of 60)4% (won 97% of 237)29% (won 11% of 403)
Entries 30–50¢—36% (won 98% of 212)26% (won 100% of 1446)16% (won 38% of 228)
Entries 50–70¢—35% (won 100% of 205)40% (won 100% of 2198)15% (won 62% of 214)
Entries 70¢ and up—20% (won 100% of 116)30% (won 100% of 1675)40% (won 94% of 553)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

4 on the same side, 3 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarketAceplus3BreakTheBankferrariChampions2026Flaznorp
Will Athletic Club win on 2026-10-10?
opposite sides · consensus No
——No $148Yes $2.7K
Matsuyama: Joel Schwaerzler vs Mitsuki Wei Kang Leong
opposite sides · consensus Joel Schwaerzler
——Mitsuki Wei Kang Leong $34Joel Schwaerzler $1.9K
Matsuyama: Sho Katayama vs Shintaro Imai
opposite sides · consensus Shintaro Imai
——Sho Katayama $411Shintaro Imai $1.3K
WTA Finals, Group A: Coco Gauff vs Jessica Pegula
same side · consensus Coco Gauff
——Coco Gauff $71KCoco Gauff $3.1K
Matsuyama: Keisuke Saitoh vs Renta Tokuda
same side · consensus Renta Tokuda
——Keisuke Saitoh $31KKeisuke Saitoh $5.3K
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 2.5
same side · consensus Under
——Under $1.2KUnder $13K
Matsuyama: Keegan Smith vs Yu-Hsiou Hsu
same side · consensus Yu-Hsiou Hsu
——Keegan Smith $187Keegan Smith $4