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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
Anon455sainttroplayBreakTheBank
Record (consensus markets)62% (1355–836, n=2191)71% (10–4, n=14)45% (526–640, n=1166)
Consensus PnL-$89K$4.4M$10.6M
Tracked aswas PM monthly #679was PM monthly #11PM monthly #1
Sides with the consensus63% (45 of 72 open)no open consensus position72% (78 of 108 open)
Strongest topics
  • Crypto +11 pts n=670, ROI +16%
  • NFL +10 pts n=166, ROI +10%
  • NFL +50 pts n=123, ROI +50%
  • NBA +49 pts n=93, ROI +48%
  • Soccer +41 pts n=277, ROI +38%
Weakest topicNBA −2 pts, n=276——
Settled positions, side won62% of 1710 at avg 57¢, ROI +7%100% of 10 at avg 49¢, ROI +52%98% of 539 at avg 53¢, ROI +41%
Entries under 30¢18% (won 11% of 303)0%10% (won 85% of 53)
Entries 30–50¢18% (won 39% of 314)50% (won 100% of 5)36% (won 98% of 192)
Entries 50–70¢27% (won 70% of 470)50% (won 100% of 5)35% (won 99% of 187)
Entries 70¢ and up36% (won 92% of 623)0%20% (won 100% of 107)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

3 on the same side, 2 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarketAnon455sainttroplayBreakTheBank
Spread: Steelers (-3.5)
opposite sides · consensus Browns
Steelers $2.2K—Browns $297K
Cardinals vs. Cowboys
opposite sides · consensus Cowboys
Cowboys $52K—Cardinals $59K
Ravens vs. Bills
same side · consensus Bills
Bills $91K—Bills $378K
Spread: Bills (-3.5)
same side · consensus Ravens
Bills $4.1K—Bills $51K
Spread: Bills (-2.5)
same side · consensus Ravens
Bills $53—Bills $2.1K