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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
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| BTCGambler247 | RN1 | beachboy4 | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 72% (209–83, n=292) | 48% (12778–13831, n=26609) | 68% (43–20, n=63) |
| Consensus PnL | $392K | $13.4M | $5.8M |
| Tracked as | was PM monthly #373 | PM monthly #24 + pinned | was PM monthly #24 |
| Sides with the consensus | 81% (47 of 58 open) | 61% (92 of 150 open) | 100% (1 of 1 open) |
| Strongest topics |
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| |
| Weakest topic | — | — | NBA −6 pts, n=92 |
| Settled positions, side won | 91% of 258 at avg 63¢, ROI +36% | 94% of 24664 at avg 58¢, ROI +35% | 57% of 212 at avg 54¢, ROI +3% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 12% (won 61% of 31) | 10% (won 56% of 2534) | 3% (won 17% of 6) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 17% (won 89% of 44) | 22% (won 94% of 5497) | 29% (won 56% of 62) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 30% (won 92% of 77) | 36% (won 99% of 8897) | 54% (won 51% of 115) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 41% (won 100% of 106) | 31% (won 100% of 7736) | 14% (won 86% of 29) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
0 on the same side, 2 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | BTCGambler247 | RN1 | beachboy4 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Spread: Bills (-3.5) opposite sides · consensus Ravens | Ravens $15K | Bills $37 | — |
| Spread: Steelers (-3.5) opposite sides · consensus Browns | Browns $8.1K | Steelers $91 | — |