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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| Bigggggggg | BreakTheBank | Flaznorp | ndb1 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 20% (1343–5395, n=6738) | 45% (572–710, n=1282) | 52% (6569–6087, n=12656) | 63% (990–573, n=1563) |
| Consensus PnL | $566K | $7.9M | $3.6M | $3.6M |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #9 | PM monthly #2 | PM monthly #10 | PM monthly #90 |
| Sides with the consensus | 69% (206 of 300 open) | 84% (26 of 31 open) | 72% (97 of 135 open) | 73% (53 of 73 open) |
| Strongest topics |
| |||
| Weakest topic | Economy −5 pts, n=113 | — | Other Sports −13 pts, n=22 | NFL −9 pts, n=139 |
| Settled positions, side won | 66% of 3892 at avg 65¢, ROI +1% | 97% of 582 at avg 53¢, ROI +40% | 56% of 1617 at avg 55¢, ROI +27% | 64% of 1288 at avg 64¢, ROI +4% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 30% (won 7% of 1167) | 10% (won 82% of 60) | 29% (won 11% of 465) | 13% (won 15% of 168) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 5% (won 43% of 183) | 35% (won 98% of 204) | 16% (won 40% of 255) | 20% (won 39% of 256) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 5% (won 67% of 184) | 35% (won 100% of 202) | 16% (won 62% of 260) | 24% (won 58% of 314) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 61% (won 98% of 2358) | 20% (won 100% of 116) | 39% (won 94% of 637) | 43% (won 93% of 550) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
4 on the same side, 2 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | Bigggggggg | BreakTheBank | Flaznorp | ndb1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Spain win the 2026-27 UEFA Nations League? opposite sides · consensus No | Yes $2 | — | — | No $173 |
| Will Al Ettifaq Saudi Club win on 2026-11-07? opposite sides · consensus No | Yes $13 | — | No $134 | — |
| Will Manchester City win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship? same side · consensus No | — | No $407K | — | No $335K |
| Will Barcelona win the 2026-27 LALIGA Championship? same side · consensus Yes | Yes $9 | — | — | Yes $62K |
| Will JJ Wetherholt win the 2026 NL Rookie of the Year award? same side · consensus No | No $10 | — | — | No $2.0K |
| Will the Republican Party hold exactly 46 Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections? same side · consensus No | No $46 | — | — | No $358 |